Thinking in probabilities

Is there a guaranteed outcome? Certainly no, embracing this no allows you to embrace the risk in any given situation. Understanding that there is a risk does not mean that you are accepting the risk. This is what it means to think in probabilities. Since the outcomes are not always guaranteed, it means that there […]

Observing the risk does not mean avoiding it

The title refers to the inability to act on time. What is the problem? Most of us are under skilled in making timely, informed, and decisive decisions. I personally observed the risk many times in advance, but I did not act. The naked hope that nothing will happen always restricts our ability to step forward […]

Who is at fault?

When companies face a risky situation, the normal business practice is that senior managers end up with a graph that nobody understands. The resulting data is compiled from a mixture of complicated analyses that do not diagnose the problem or provide a way to a solution. Such analyses usually further complicate the situation. Who is […]